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A Quick Look at Today:
Editorial Notebook: Confirmation of what we already knew prior to the bombing Iran’s nuclear program did not suffer any serious damage. No lethal blow was delivered. The preliminary intelligence report was leaked by someone at the Pentagon who doesn’t feel much respect for a liar serving as commander in chief.The Times rephrased:According to the officials, the initial assessments indicated that while the strikes blocked the entrances to two of the sites, their underground structures remained intact. U.S. intelligence services had predicted that it would take roughly three months for Iran to produce a bomb if it attempted to do so in a hurry before to the strike. The Defense Intelligence Agency study indicated that the program had been delayed by fewer than six months following the U.S. bombing run and days of Israeli Air Force attacks. A large portion of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile was relocated prior to the strikes, according to the report, and just a small portion of the nuclear material was destroyed. Some of that might have been transferred to covert locations by Iran.Since the victims are the only ones who have truly suffered, the LAPD’s initial tweet was meant to express sympathy for them. The bombing will accomplish what it was guaranteed to accomplish. As demonstrated by North Korea, possessing a stockpile is the only defense against an attack—but not against first or retaliatory use—which will hasten Iran’s drive to develop a bomb. Regardless of the mistakes and miscalculations made by the United States and Russia, the general apprehension was that India and Pakistan will be the next to exchange nuclear weapons. Both this year and in 1993, they came dangerously close to being talked off the cliff by negotiators (most notably James Baker in 1990). Unless Israel or the United States conclude that the bunker-busting disaster was what it was, it is now more possible that Israel and Iran, probably in that order, will be the next to detonate nuclear weapons. The next step should be to drop tactical nuclear weapons on nuclear installations. These two countries are always the ones who push the boundaries of what is unacceptable.
P.T.
Now for this: Lt Col Daniel Davis & MIT Prof Ted Postol: The myth of the bunker buster:
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And a few men with spades may destroy all of their hard work at any time! How can a battle like this be won? When we can be bled to death at home, what good are conventional military operations, sweeps, and punishing raids into the enemy’s heartland?
From Waiting for the Barbarians by J.M. Coetzee (1980).
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