With local accumulations of several inches possible, the National Weather Service is warning that Palm Coast, Flagler County, and Northeast Florida will be soaked over the Independence Day weekend. Holiday celebrations in the area can be affected.
Through the weekend, there will likely be daily showers and thunderstorms, with the area perhaps seeing up to 4 inches of total rainfall. This will increase the potential of flooding, particularly in north-central Florida, where the highest quantities will occur.
An area of low pressure that might form along a waning frontal boundary close to or along the southeastern Atlantic or Gulf coasts of the United States is still being watched by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). This low has a 40% probability of developing into a weak tropical or subtropical system. There is still a lot of uncertainty about this feature even if major development is not expected.
The amount of rain that falls on this area will depend on where the low forms, whether it is in the Atlantic or the Gulf of Mexico. The National Weather Service forecasts significant rainfall locally through the weekend, regardless of any developments.
The agency is predicting a 90% probability of rain on Independence Day, similar to Saturday and Sunday, though that could change. That would affect the July 4th parade in Flagler Beach at 9 a.m. and the nighttime ceremony at the county airport, which includes the reading of the Declaration of Independence and fireworks at 9 p.m.
The Tropical Tidbits chart below depicts precipitation through July 7:
